Arizona State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
115  Chelsey Albertson SR 20:00
299  Samantha Ortega SO 20:31
392  Courtney Lewis SO 20:41
651  Alexis Nichols SO 21:04
742  Daan Haven FR 21:11
897  Billie Jo Dytrt SR 21:21
910  Anna Pruter SO 21:22
1,411  Angela Saitta FR 21:55
National Rank #65 of 348
West Region Rank #12 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.5%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.1%
Top 10 in Regional 53.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Chelsey Albertson Samantha Ortega Courtney Lewis Alexis Nichols Daan Haven Billie Jo Dytrt Anna Pruter Angela Saitta
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 911 20:40 20:16 20:52 20:54 21:44 21:20 21:00 21:23
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 22:29
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 842 20:18 20:16 20:30 21:33 21:22 21:34 21:00
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 849 19:42 20:54 20:55 20:43 21:03 21:15 21:28 21:55
West Region Championships 11/10 796 19:49 20:40 20:38 20:54 20:48 21:47 21:31





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.5% 28.2 691 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Region Championship 100% 10.6 335 0.1 0.5 5.9 13.4 16.2 17.8 14.1 11.7 8.6 4.5 4.4 2.4 0.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chelsey Albertson 16.4% 81.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Samantha Ortega 0.5% 152.0
Courtney Lewis 0.5% 171.0
Alexis Nichols 0.5% 220.0
Daan Haven 0.5% 227.0
Billie Jo Dytrt 0.5% 241.0
Anna Pruter 0.5% 238.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chelsey Albertson 29.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 1.3 2.0 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.9 3.7
Samantha Ortega 56.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
Courtney Lewis 66.1
Alexis Nichols 87.2
Daan Haven 95.6
Billie Jo Dytrt 109.5
Anna Pruter 110.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.1% 50.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 5
6 0.5% 44.4% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 6
7 5.9% 3.4% 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.7 0.2 7
8 13.4% 0.4% 0.1 13.4 0.1 8
9 16.2% 16.2 9
10 17.8% 17.8 10
11 14.1% 14.1 11
12 11.7% 11.7 12
13 8.6% 8.6 13
14 4.5% 4.5 14
15 4.4% 4.4 15
16 2.4% 2.4 16
17 0.7% 0.7 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 0.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.5 0.0 0.5




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0